— Data & Reports
Advanced Analytics & Revenue Projection
Scenario-based medium-term revenue forecasting with driver sensitivity, stream-level decomposition and AI-detected leakage signals. Export the full brief as a Ministry-branded PDF.
Total Revenue · 2025
$985M
+9.3%vs. 2024 actual
Projected · 2030
$1,383M
+7.0% CAGRBaseline scenario
Forecast Corridor · 2030
±2.2%
Opt. vs Downside
Leakage Signals · Q3
5 flagged
-7.0 US$MGovRevenue AI
Live model · adjust drivers below to recompute the projection in real-time.
Macroeconomic Drivers
5.4%
0%10%
3.0%
-5%15%
4.0%
-15%20%
2.5pp
0pp8pp
Consolidated Revenue — Actual & 3-Scenario Forecast
US$ millions · 2019–2030
Leakage & Anomaly Signals
GovRevenue AI · Q3
| ID | Stream | Source | Δ US$M | Severity | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-2401 | International Trade (Customs) | Freeport of Monrovia | -3.8 | high | Declared values 14% below regional benchmark on rice imports (Q3). |
| A-2402 | Mining Royalties & Concessions | Buchanan | -2.1 | medium | Iron ore export tonnage vs declared royalty diverges by 7.2%. |
| A-2403 | Goods & Services Tax | Greater Monrovia VAT | -1.4 | medium | VAT collection in hospitality sector trailing 2024 baseline. |
| A-2404 | Maritime Revenue | LISCR Registry | +0.9 | low | Tonnage tax exceeds forecast on new container registrations. |
| A-2405 | Non-Tax Revenue | Civil Aviation | -0.6 | low | Landing-fee reconciliation gap detected at RIA. |